The competition for Wisconsin is still neck and neck between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. A recent poll has even shown the candidates tied in this crucial battleground state.
In the 2020 presidential election, Wisconsin played a crucial role in President Joe Biden’s victory. He secured the state’s 10 electoral votes by a narrow margin of 0.7 percent over his opponent, Donald Trump.
Recent polling indicates that the upcoming November contest is expected to be just as close, with various surveys showing a tie between the presidential candidates in the Badger State.
In a recent survey conducted by Napolitan News, it was revealed that Harris holds a slight lead over Trump in Wisconsin. Among 788 likely voters, Harris is ahead by just one percentage point, with 50 percent of the vote compared to Trump’s 49 percent.
However, due to the poll’s margin of error of 3.5 percent, the candidates are considered to be in a statistical tie.
According to a recent survey conducted by Rasmussen Reports and American Thinker, the 2024 candidates are currently tied at 49 percent among likely voters in Wisconsin.
This survey, which collected responses from 1,071 participants between September 19 and 22, sheds light on the key issues that are influencing Wisconsin voters’ decisions.
As noted by Andrea Widburg, the managing editor of American Thinker, the candidates are in a deadlock primarily due to concerns surrounding the economy, immigration, energy policy, and abortion.
According to Widburg, a majority of voters believe that Trump is the stronger candidate on the first two issues. However, when it comes to energy issues, a slight majority side with Harris. It is worth noting that Harris’ supporters are also strongly in favor of abortion.
Last week, polling in Wisconsin revealed a similar narrative. According to a survey conducted by Emerson College and The Hill between September 15 and 18, 1,000 likely voters indicated that Trump held a slight lead of just 1 percentage point (49 percent to 48 percent).
Similarly, another survey conducted by MaristPoll during the same week showed that Harris had a narrow lead of 1 point (50 percent to 49 percent) based on a sample size of 1,194 voters.
According to RealClearPolling (RCP), the average data indicates that Harris is currently leading in Wisconsin with a narrow margin of 0.7 percentage points.
Throughout her campaign, the competition in the state has remained extremely tight. RCP’s records reveal that the largest difference between the candidates occurred at the end of last month, when Harris was ahead of Trump by an average of 1.9 percentage points (49 percent to 47.1 percent) as of August 29th.
According to the latest polling tracker by The New York Times, Kamala Harris maintains a slight lead in Wisconsin, with a 2 percentage point advantage just under six weeks before Election Day.
According to two prominent election forecasts, Harris has a greater likelihood of winning Wisconsin. Nate Silver, a pollster, predicts that the vice president has a 61 percent chance of securing the state’s 10 electoral votes, while Trump was given a 39 percent chance as of Thursday.
FiveThirtyEight’s model also gives Harris almost identical odds with a 62 percent chance compared to Trump’s 38 percent chance.
Ref. Article: NewsWeek
