According to a recent survey, there is a significant number of Texas voters who are not currently supporting either Republican Senator Ted Cruz or Democratic Congressman Colin Allred. This could potentially put Cruz at risk of losing his seat to Allred.
According to a recent poll conducted by Mainstreet Research and released by Florida Atlantic University (FAU) on Tuesday, Cruz holds a 3 percentage point lead over Allred in the race. However, there is a significant number of undecided voters that could potentially have a major impact on the outcome of the election.
Cruz currently holds a 3-point lead over Allred among all voters, with 46 percent supporting Cruz and 43 percent supporting Allred. Meanwhile, 11 percent of voters have yet to decide who they will vote for. Among likely voters, Cruz maintains his 3-point advantage with 47 percent backing him, compared to 44 percent for Allred. The number of undecided voters has decreased to just 3 percent.
The poll surveyed 811 registered Texas voters through both phone and online methods from October 2 to October 6. Although the margin of error was not specified, FAU mentioned that a poll of this scale would typically have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.
According to Professor Kevin Wagner, a political science expert at FAU and co-director of the FAU PolCom Lab, the recent findings emphasize the ongoing competitiveness of Texas in national elections.
Flipping control of Cruz’s seat would be a significant obstacle for conservatives aiming to regain control of the chamber, as Republicans have been optimistic about the Senate seats up for grabs in the upcoming November elections.
According to a recent Morning Consult poll, there was a slight 1 percent lead for Allred over Cruz in the Texas race. Although most surveys have shown Cruz with an advantage, other polls have indicated that the race is within the margins of error.
According to the Cook Political Report, Cruz’s seat was downgraded from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican” on October 1. It is worth noting that no Democrat has been able to secure a U.S. Senate election victory in Texas since 1988.
According to the report, the race is still considered challenging for Allred, and winning additional points in Texas will be a difficult task. Republicans are working on increasing Allred’s negatives, and with more money pouring in, they believe they have an advantage. The upcoming debate on October 15 will also play a crucial role in determining the outcome.
According to Mark Shanahan, a professor of American politics at the University of Surrey in the U.K., Democrats are currently projected to lose the Senate. However, Shanahan believes that there is hope in Texas, as it is considered one of the “flippable Senate seats” that could potentially help Democrats maintain control.