Less than a month remains until the election, and both pundits and voters are eagerly looking to polls for any signs of a shifting tide before Election Day. However, when it comes to states like Florida and Texas, it appears that there has been little movement in the numbers, as the two states are polling similarly.
Florida and Texas have emerged as Republican strongholds in recent election cycles. Not only did former President Donald Trump secure victories in these states, but conservative governors and Senators have also been successful in attracting voters. This trend is expected to persist leading up to Election Day.
In a recent poll conducted by Mainstreet Research for Florida Atlantic University, 811 registered voters in Texas were surveyed between Oct. 2-6. The study revealed that the former President maintained a 5-percentage point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris, with 50% support compared to her 45%.
Recent polling numbers from the Associated Industries of Florida Center for Political Strategy revealed that the GOP candidate holds 51% of the support in Texas, while Harris stands at 46%.
If these figures are reflected in the polling results on November 5th, it would indicate a continuation of Trump’s success during the 2020 general elections.
During that year, Trump secured a relatively comfortable victory in both states, with 51% of Florida’s support compared to President Joe Biden’s 47%, and in Texas, Trump received 52% of the vote while Biden garnered 46%.
Florida and Texas have caught the nation’s eye with closely contested Senate races this year. These states are gaining national attention as the competition intensifies.
Texas Democrats are actively working to reduce this gap, as evidenced by their significant financial support for Rep. Allred’s campaign. In the third quarter of the year, spanning from July to September, Allred managed to raise an impressive $30 million for his campaign, while Cruz raised $21 million across his three fundraising accounts.
In Florida, Republican Senator Rick Scott is currently leading his competitor, former Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, by 2.7 points according to The Hill’s polling average. Scott has garnered 45% support, while Mucarsel-Powell trails closely behind at 43%.
In late-September, Democrats were considering a last-minute push in the Florida Senate race. Senator Gary Peters, the chair of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, mentioned during a donor retreat that their focus was now shifting towards these states, expressing their desire to allocate resources to them.